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Your Step, Novice Home Buyers...
By JUNE FLETCHER
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
December 25, 2005
I knew the real estate market was
getting out of control the first time I opened my email in-box and
noticed that come-ons to take out a mortgage were outnumbering those
for Viagra.
Yes, it is tempting to read ads that
promise me a $550,000 loan for only $888 a month, or $229,861 at
3.05%, to mention just two that recently arrived in my email. And
isn't it nice that the senders offered to "preapprove" me for a
loan? Especially since I never met these alleged loan officers.
Spammers, of course, prey on our
lusts. When the lust for cheap money starts to outweigh simple lust,
we should take it as a sign that we're all in trouble. And when it
comes to indebtedness, we are. According to Economy.com, accounting
for inflation, household debt has more than doubled since 1990,
while household income has risen only 11%.
Cheap money is the enabler of what
has become an addiction to borrowing. Even though interest rates are
at near-historic lows, home prices have risen so fast, they're still
not affordable for many people. So, creative financing deals from
past decades are reappearing: siren-song loans that offer zero
interest, interest only, no down payment, no closing costs and many
other variations. ("Subprime" mortgages, made to people with
less-than-sterling credit, now account for more than 10% of all
mortgage debt.)
Of course, there is no "free" loan
as far as a lender is concerned -- whatever you don't pay upfront,
you'll have to pay later.
A Lender's Tale
Ellen Bitton, chief executive
officer of Park Avenue Mortgage Group with offices in New York and
Palm Beach, Fla., has seen a lot of changes in her 20 years as a
lender and mortgage broker. Some of them she finds "upsetting." A
decade ago, when rates were in the 7% and 8% range, only wealthy
people took out risky loans like interest-only mortgages, she says.
They used the money they saved on the mortgage to fund investments
with higher rates of return, not to pay other bills. And if rates
should go up? That might mean downsizing from a Maserati to a Lexus,
but it wouldn't be a financial catastrophe.
Now, she says, "every Tom, Dick, and
Harry is getting these loans, but they're not suited to everyone.
Not everyone understands that rates can go up, or that equity can go
down. Instead, they think, 'This is fun, cheap -- I can afford more
house.'"
Saddest of all, she says, is that
when everything inevitably comes to a head, the youngest and most
vulnerable homeowners will be hurt most. Older homeowners remember
14% and 15% mortgages two decades ago and are wary of risky loans.
And first-time borrowers also are
too young to remember the bad old days of the early 1990s, when
risky lending and a recession led to lenders' portfolios being
stuffed with foreclosures.
Then and Now
Not too long ago, lenders wouldn't
give you a loan to buy a house unless you'd saved 20% of the price
for a down payment. Most people got fixed-rate mortgages.
MORE
Big changes began in 1995, when
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, government-sponsored entities that buy
mortgages and repackage them for resale, began to offer automated
systems to evaluated borrower risk. By 2001, consumers could access
their own credit scores through the Web site
myFICO.com, a consumer division of Fair Isaac, the company that
spawned the FICO credit-risk score. Finally, the veil was lifted.
Borrowers didn't have to go through white-knuckled interviews with
bankers to see what loans they might get. They could apply for loans
at midnight in their underwear through such online bankers as E-Loan
and Lending Tree.
The Interest-Only Gambit
As home prices rocketed, buyers
began looking for lower monthly payments. A growing number choose
interest-only loans instead of amortizing ones, which front-load
most of the your mortgage interest payments into the early years of
the loan while more of the later payments go toward reducing
principal.
Interest-only isn't one type of
loan. It's an option that can be added to any kind of loan, from
30-year fixed to one-month adjustable. What it does, simply, is to
put off the payment of any principal for a certain time, typically
five, seven or 10 years. You can control a property and deduct the
interest paid. But because you aren't paying toward your principal,
you don't build any equity, unless the value of your home rises. At
the end of the interest-only loan period, the balance becomes due.
Roaring Twenties
Interest-only loans were the norm in
the Roaring Twenties. Back then, they weren't interest-only for a
certain period, but for the life of the loan. People just kept
paying interest until they sold their homes, when, they hoped,
appreciation would cover the cost of the mortgage and maybe provide
a little profit, too. If they stayed in their homes a long time,
they refinanced endlessly. When home prices fell during the Great
Depression and wiped out equity, interest-only loans fell out of
favor.
Nowadays interest-only payments are
especially popular with first-time buyers as home prices outpace
their incomes. Usually offered at rates comparable with standard
loans -- or a little higher, typically around a quarter of a
percentage point -- interest-only mortgages have lower payments in
the early years. That's because you're deferring payment of any
principal. For a $250,000 30-year loan at 6%, the principal and
interest of a standard, fully amortizing loan is $1,498. The monthly
payment for an interest-only loan for the same amount is $1,250.
Savings: $248.
Pinch Comes Later
But there's a price to be paid. If
not refinanced or paid off, interest-only loans typically become
"fully amortized" after a set period, and you have to pay both
interest and principal, plus the principal you deferred. That's when
your wallet really feels the impact.
If the interest-only loan in the
above example becomes fully amortized after 10 years, the monthly
payment will suddenly jump to $1,791 for the next 20 years, because
you're paying both the regular and the deferred principal in a more
compressed period. So to save $248 a month from the cost of a
standard loan for the first 10 years, you have to pay $293 a month
more for the next two decades.
This is fine if you plan to sell
your home before the interest-only period expires (and home prices
haven't dropped in the meantime), or you're so sure that rates will
go down that you'll be able to refinance, or you expect a big fat
raise, or you have a surefire investment that brings better
after-tax returns than the cost of the loan, or you're really,
really lucky at bingo.
Write to
June Fletcher at
june.fletcher@wsj.com |